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Dow Hits Record High Thursday as S&P 500 Eyes 10th Straight Positive Week — Jobs Report Due This Morning

Dow Hits Record High Thursday as S&P 500 Eyes 10th Straight Positive Week — Jobs Report Due This Morning
Since the Broadcom-triggered chip selloff rattled markets earlier this week, the broader market found its footing Thursday — the Dow surged 875 points to a fresh record close while futures pulled back Friday morning ahead of the May jobs number. Wall Street expects a weak 80,000 payrolls print. How the market absorbs that number will determine whether the S&P 500's historic 10-week win streak survives.

Since the chip selloff and Korean market rout defined the early part of this week, Thursday offered a sharp reversal — at least for the Dow.

What Happened Thursday

The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 874.86 points, or 1.73%, closing at a fresh all-time record, according to CNBC. The S&P 500 added 0.41%. The Nasdaq Composite slipped 0.09% — weighed down by continued rotation out of tech and semiconductor names.

The Rotation Is Specific

Charles Kantor, senior portfolio manager at Neuberger Berman, put it plainly on CNBC's Closing Bell: Overtime Thursday: "It's no longer broadening away from Mag Seven — it's really a broadening away from semi-cap equipment and hardware."

Investors aren't just rotating out of the Magnificent Seven anymore. They're specifically dumping the chip and data center hardware plays. The Broadcom miss this week accelerated that trend. Jim Cramer on Mad Money argued Thursday night that Broadcom has a "history of issuing conservative forecasts before delivering stronger results later."

But the market's reaction to Broadcom's earnings — a 12% drop followed by continued pressure on Korean chipmakers — suggests investors aren't taking that historical pattern on faith right now.

The 10-Week Streak

The S&P 500 is up less than 0.1% on the week, according to CNBC. That narrow gain still puts it on track for 10 consecutive positive weeks — the longest such streak since 1985. The Dow is up about 1% for the week. The Nasdaq is heading for a 0.5% loss.

Friday morning's jobs report could disrupt that streak.

The Jobs Number

Economists surveyed by Dow Jones expect May nonfarm payrolls to show just 80,000 jobs added — down significantly from the prior two-month average of 150,000. The unemployment rate is expected to hold at 4.3%.

80,000 is a weak number. It follows April's already-soft 115,000 print. Two consecutive underwhelming months, with AI-driven layoffs running at record levels through May, signals labor market pressure.

A number coming in below 80,000 — "weaker than expected" — could trigger a sharp reaction in both equities and fixed income.

Futures Signal Caution

S&P 500 futures were down 0.49% in early Friday trading, according to CNBC. Nasdaq 100 futures fell 1.02%. Dow futures were essentially flat, up just 36 points.

The divergence between Dow and Nasdaq futures mirrors Thursday's session. Industrial and value stocks are holding. Tech is not.

Broadening Weakness

CNBC and other outlets are framing Thursday's Dow record as a sign of broad market health. The Dow is 30 stocks. It's a price-weighted index that can be moved significantly by a handful of names. The Nasdaq losing ground on the same day the Dow hits a record reflects a structural story about where institutional money is and isn't going.

Quantinuum's IPO debut is getting outsized coverage. Yes, Quantinuum — the quantum computing spinout from Honeywell — had strong demand and a stable first trading day. But one successful IPO doesn't confirm broad market appetite in a week where Korean markets dropped 5.54% and chip stocks remain under pressure.

Lululemon dropped 11% in after-hours trading Thursday after cutting its full-year earnings and revenue guidance. The company cited "headwinds." Consumers are pulling back on discretionary spending. That's a consumer health story, and it connects directly to whatever the jobs number says Friday morning.

Private Credit Questions

Blackstone limited redemptions in a flagship private credit fund this week. According to CNBC, this news "would typically have rattled investors." The fact that it didn't rattle the broader market — at least not Thursday — is being cited as resilience.

Private credit markets are not transparent. When redemption gates go up, it typically signals underlying pressure in those funds.

The Week Ahead

The Dow at a record high sounds encouraging. But the Nasdaq is negative on the week, Lululemon just warned on revenue, Korean markets are in a serious correction, and the May jobs number due this morning is expected to be the weakest print in months — at a time when AI-driven layoffs are running at a 40% share of total job cuts.

One index hitting a record doesn't make the underlying picture healthy. The jobs report will matter.

Sources

center-left Bloomberg S&P 500 Weekly Streak at Risk as AI Slide Deepens: Markets Wrap
center-left CNBC S&P 500 futures tick lower as Wall Street awaits May jobs report: Live updates
center-left CNBC Jim Cramer says Thursday's rally shows investors' 'huge appetite' for stocks
center-left bloomberg AI Rally Stalls, Dragging S&P 500 Lower for the Week