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California and Iowa Primary Results Roll In: Spencer Pratt Surges, Swalwell Out, and Dems' Redrawn Map Faces Its First Real Test

California and Iowa Primary Results Roll In: Spencer Pratt Surges, Swalwell Out, and Dems' Redrawn Map Faces Its First Real Test
Voting wrapped up June 2 across six states, and the results are already reshaping the 2026 landscape. Spencer Pratt — yes, the reality TV star — is making a legitimate run at LA mayor with Trump's backing and a crime-and-wildfire message that's resonating. Meanwhile, Democrats find out whether their expensive congressional map redraw in California was worth it.

What Actually Happened on June 2

Voters in California, Iowa, Montana, New Jersey, South Dakota, and New Mexico headed to the polls Tuesday. Most of the national attention landed on California and Iowa — and for good reason.

These aren't routine primaries. The outcomes will shape which party controls the House and potentially the Senate after November.

The LA Mayor Race Just Got Real

The story mainstream media buried under governor's race coverage: Spencer Pratt is surging in the Los Angeles mayoral primary.

Fox News reported Tuesday that LA business leaders are pointing directly to crime and wildfire fallout as the fuel behind Pratt's climb. One unnamed LA business figure told Fox News bluntly: "People are angry."

Pratt — backed by President Trump — has run what even Brit Hume on Fox News described as "a pretty imaginative campaign with well-done ads."

Incumbent Mayor Karen Bass is fighting off two challengers. She's trying to survive while LA is still politically toxic after the January wildfires devastated parts of the city on her watch. Bass's approval numbers were already underwater before the fires. They didn't improve after.

The left-leaning outlets largely ignored the Pratt surge in their primary previews. NPR mentioned Bass facing challengers but didn't dig into the dynamic. Fox News spent considerably more time on the ground-level anger driving votes away from Bass.

The Governor's Race: Democrats in Chaos

Gavin Newsom is term-limited. He's gone after this term. That should be a clean handoff for California Democrats — except it's been anything but.

According to NPR, three major Democratic figures — former Vice President Kamala Harris, Sen. Alex Padilla, and state Attorney General Rob Bonta — all declined to run. That left the party without a clear frontrunner for the first time in decades.

Then the race got messier. Former Democratic Rep. Eric Swalwell was considered the presumed frontrunner until he dropped out after multiple women accused him of sexual misconduct, according to NPR.

Now the top contenders shaping up, per NPR's reporting, include former Health and Human Services Secretary Xavier Becerra and others scrambling to consolidate support. With 60-plus names on the ballot and only the top two advancing under California's jungle primary rules, the math matters enormously.

The New York Times noted the race "has been unpredictable for months."

The Map Redraw: Democrats' $100M Bet

The bigger structural story — one the left-leaning press is treating as a straightforward Democratic win in waiting — is California's redrawn congressional map.

California Democrats engineered five new Democratic-leaning House districts through redistricting. The primary is the first live test of whether those lines actually deliver, according to AP News.

This is Democrats essentially trying to legislate their way to a House majority through cartography. That's legal. Both parties do it. But the AP framed it as Democrats "countering Trump" — which is accurate in intent but glosses over the fact that this is pure partisan map-drawing dressed up as democratic reform.

The question isn't whether the lines favor Democrats. They do, by design. The question is whether Democratic candidates can actually win the seats in November. Tuesday's primary only tells us who's on the ballot — NOT whether the strategy works.

Mainstream left-leaning coverage is already treating the redrawn map as a fait accompli. Drawing favorable lines and winning elections are two different things.

Iowa: Democrats' Long-Shot Senate Bet

In Iowa, Democrats chose a Senate candidate Tuesday to take on the Republican nominee in November. The stakes are high and the math is brutal.

According to NPR, Democrats need to pick up four Senate seats to retake the majority. That requires winning in red-leaning states like Iowa. Democrats haven't won the Iowa governorship in years, and they're trying to change that too.

This is a genuine test of whether the national anti-Trump wave — if there is one — can penetrate Trump country. The primary winner gets to find out in November.

Trump's Late-Night Endorsement Blitz

President Trump dropped endorsements across six states late Monday night ahead of the primaries, according to Fox News. California and the LA mayor's race were included.

Trump's backing of Pratt is either a masterstroke or a sideshow, depending on which media outlet you read. Fox News treated it as a significant development. Left-leaning outlets barely acknowledged it.

Trump endorsements in deep-blue California have a mixed record. They energize a base. They also potentially energize the opposition. In a jungle primary where the top two advance regardless of party, a Trump-backed candidate making the November ballot in LA would be genuinely historic.

Coverage Gaps

Left-leaning outlets — AP, NPR, NYT — are framing the California primaries almost entirely as a Democratic strategy story. How do Democrats defend their gains? How do they maximize their map advantages?

Fox News is going harder on the street-level anger in LA — crime, wildfire, the Bass record — which is the actual story driving votes.

Both framings overlook the same thing: California voters are not a monolith. The state that handed Biden a 30-point margin also has millions of voters furious about homelessness, crime, and two consecutive years of government failures during natural disasters.

The redrawn congressional map story deserves more skepticism from everyone. Five new Democratic-leaning districts sound good on paper. Turning paper advantages into actual November wins requires candidates, money, and turnout. None of that is guaranteed.

What Comes Next

June 2 is round one. The governor's race top two get set for November. The new congressional district candidates get their tickets punched. Pratt either advances in LA or he doesn't.

By Wednesday morning, California voters and political operatives will know whether Democratic map-drawing holds up under actual voter scrutiny, whether Bass is genuinely vulnerable, and whether Trump's endorsements moved anything in a state he lost by millions of votes.

Regular Californians are asking a simpler question: who's actually going to fix the homeless camps, rebuild the fire zones, and stop the smash-and-grabs. The primary coverage, by and large, left that question unaddressed.

Sources

center-left NPR Tuesday is a big primary day. Here are key races to watch
left AP News Democrats redrew California’s map to counter Trump. The primary tests whether it pays off for them
left AP News What to watch in Tuesday’s primaries as Democrats try to defend California and make inroads in Iowa
left NYT California’s Primary Election: What to Watch
left NYT What to Watch in Tuesday’s Primary Elections in Iowa, Montana and Beyond
right Fox News LA business leader says crime, wildfire fallout fueling Pratt surge as voters seek change: 'People are angry'
right Fox News From reality TV to city hall? Trump-backed Spencer Pratt soars in LA mayor race as Californians vote
right Fox News Battle between Bari Weiss and ‘60 Minutes’ explodes as Scott Pelley accuses her of murdering the show
right Fox News Trump makes late-night endorsements in six states ahead of Tuesday primaries, including California