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Gold Nears $4,400 as Weak Retail Sales Data Sinks Rate Hike Odds

July retail sales fell 0.6%, the biggest monthly drop since May 2025, and gold jumped near $4,400 an ounce on bets the Fed stays put in September. Treasury yields rose anyway, and Iran's refusal to negotiate over the Strait of Hormuz is adding a geopolitical premium the Fed can't control.
Gold pushed toward $4,400 an ounce Monday, extending a two-week rally after the government's July retail sales report landed far worse than Wall Street expected. Spot gold traded at $4,391.60 an ounce at 10:50 a.m. in Singapore, up 0.4% on the day, according to Bloomberg.
The US Census Bureau said Friday that retail sales dropped 0.6% month-over-month in July, the steepest one-month decline since May 2025.
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